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(10 Points. Approximately one-half of a double-spaced page)
Construct a logical IF, AND/OR, THEN sequence justifying LTC Mucci’s decision to assault on 30 January. You are not required to include OR in your response, but should include elements related to the enemy, your own multinational force, the POWs, and local support. (Keep in mind that a decision to delay on 29 January does not justify an assault on the 30th, because conditions could have been worse.)
Commander’s Judgment: While CCIRs help the commander make an anticipated decision, commanders must often make decisions that they and their staffs did not anticipate. LTC Mucci’s decision to delay his actions on the objective until 30 January 1945 may have been his most difficult and most important decision. In hindsight, his judgment was correct. Despite the benefits, LTC Mucci accepted the risk that the Japanese would detect his force, or sense that 6th Army was too close and consequently kill or move the POWs.
REQUIREMENT #6: Commander’s Judgment (10 Points. Approximately one-half of a double-spaced page)
Compare and contrast LTC Mucci’s decision to delay actions on the objective on 29 JAN with his decision to conduct actions on the objective on 30 JAN. In other words, explain how the conditions on 29 JAN differed from those on 30 JAN, resulting in LTC Mucci’s decision to delay on 29 JAN and assault on 30 JAN. (Keep in mind that his reason for delaying was different from the benefit of delaying.)
COA Analysis, Comparison and Recommendation: According to page 9-25 of the 2014 FM 6-0: “War-gaming is a disciplined process, with rules and steps that attempt to visualize the flow of the operation, given the force’s strengths and dispositions, enemy’s capabilities and possible COAs, impact and requirements of civilians in the AO, and other aspects of the situation.”
It further states that “COA analysis enables commanders and staffs to identify difficulties or coordination problems as well as probable consequences of planned actions for each COA being considered. It helps them think through the tentative plan. COA analysis may require commanders and staffs to revisit parts of a COA as discrepancies arise. COA analysis not only appraises the quality of each COA but also uncovers potential execution problems, decisions, and contingencies. In addition, COA analysis influences how commanders and staffs understand a problem and may require the planning process to restart.”
#5: The IF/AND/THEN approach links several CCIR together (as IF & ANDS) which lead to a logical decision (THEN). Use the example from the exam as a format for your response which should link several CCIR together to justify LTC Mucci’s decision to assault the prison. That example is:
IF my team is still in the playoff hunt
AND my brother can purchase game tickets
AND the winter roads are clear enough to drive
OR I can afford train tickets
THEN I will go to the last regular season game
#6: Answer in two parts. First explain what conditions caused LTC Mucci to delay on the 29th and then explain how those conditions changed resulting in LTC Mucci’s decision to assault on the 30th.
One page per question.
