shift sharing analysis

perform individually a shift-share analysis of regional employment evolution for their chosen economic
region. Specific instructions on conducting shift-share analysis will be presented during a lab
session. present summary tables and a 1-page analysis of what numbers reveal. the region am doing is
PEI
Table 282-0125 Labour force survey estimates (LFS), employment by economic region based on 2011 Census
boundaries and North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), annual (persons x 1,000)(1)

Survey or program details:
Labour Force Survey – 3701 employment change

Geography (2) North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) (3) 2004 2009 2014
2009-2014 % change National growth share Industry mix share Regional shift
-share
Canada Total employed, all industries (4) 15915 16727.6 17802.2 1074.6 6.4% 17802.2
0.0
Canada Agriculture [111-112 1100 1151-1152] (6) 322 326.9 305.1 -21.8 -6.7%
347.9 -42.8
Canada Forestry, fishing, mining, quarrying, oil and gas [21 113-114 1153 2100] (7,8) 284.9 314.4
372.6 58.2 18.5% 334.6 38.0
Canada Utilities [22] 132.1 144.1 136.9 -7.2 -5.0% 153.4 -16.5
Canada Construction [23] 954.1 1189.6 1371.5 181.9 15.3% 1266.0 105.5
Canada Manufacturing [31-33] 2297.2 1745.1 1711 -34.1 -2.0% 1857.2 -146.2
Canada Trade [41 44-45] 2500.7 2645 2729.3 84.3 3.2% 2814.9 -85.6
Canada Transportation and warehousing [48-49] 805.2 824.6 896.8 72.2 8.8% 877.6
19.2
Canada Finance, insurance, real estate and leasing [52-53] 951.5 1067.1 1083.8 16.7
1.6% 1135.7 -51.9
Canada Professional, scientific and technical services [54] 1012.9 1149.9 1333.3 183.4
15.9% 1223.8 109.5
Canada Business, building and other support services [55-56] (10) 627.1 683.9 734.8
50.9 7.4% 727.8 7.0
Canada Educational services [61] 1034 1151.2 1236.9 85.7 7.4% 1225.2 11.7
Canada Health care and social assistance [62] 1723.2 1961.6 2219.7 258.1 13.2% 2087.6
132.1
Canada Information, culture and recreation [51 71] 733.1 747.3 757.2 9.9 1.3%
795.3 -38.1
Canada Accommodation and food services [72] 1006.9 1075.7 1207.5 131.8 12.3% 1144.8
62.7
Canada Other services [81] 699.9 782.6 795.1 12.5 1.6% 832.9 -37.8
Canada Public administration [91] 830.4 918.6 910.7 -7.9 -0.9% 977.6 -66.9
Prince Edward Island Total employed, all industries (4) 66.6 68.1 74 5.9
8.7% 72.475 0.000 1.525
Prince Edward Island Agriculture [111-112 1100 1151-1152] (6) 3.6 3.6 3.7
0.1 2.8% 3.831 -0.471 0.340
Prince Edward Island Forestry, fishing, mining, quarrying, oil and gas [21 113-114 1153 2100] (7,8)
2.8 2.4 2.5 0.1 4.2% 2.554 0.290 -0.344
Prince Edward Island Utilities [22] 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 50.0% 0.213 -0.023
0.110
Prince Edward Island Construction [23] 4.2 5.5 5.8 0.3 5.5% 5.853
0.488 -0.541
Prince Edward Island Manufacturing [31-33] 6.1 5.3 5.6 0.3 5.7% 5.640
-0.444 0.404
Prince Edward Island Trade [41 44-45] 10.2 9.8 11 1.2 12.2% 10.430
-0.317 0.888
Prince Edward Island Transportation and warehousing [48-49] 2.3 2.3 2.9 0.6
26.1% 2.448 0.054 0.399
Prince Edward Island Finance, insurance, real estate and leasing [52-53] 2.3 2.4 2.3
-0.1 -4.2% 2.554 -0.117 -0.138
Prince Edward Island Professional, scientific and technical services [54] 2.5 2.2 2.9
0.7 31.8% 2.341 0.210 0.349
Prince Edward Island Business, building and other support services [55-56] (10) 2.3 2.7
2.3 -0.4 -14.8% 2.873 0.027 -0.601
Prince Edward Island Educational services [61] 4.7 4.7 5.6 0.9 19.1%
5.002 0.048 0.550
Prince Edward Island Health care and social assistance [62] 7.9 8.5 10.5 2
23.5% 9.046 0.572 0.882
Prince Edward Island Information, culture and recreation [51 71] 2.4 2.3 2.6
0.3 13.0% 2.448 -0.117 0.270
Prince Edward Island Accommodation and food services [72] 4.7 5.3 5.5 0.2
3.8% 5.640 0.309 -0.449
Prince Edward Island Other services [81] 3 2.9 3.3 0.4 13.8% 3.086
-0.140 0.354
Prince Edward Island Public administration [91] 7.2 7.9 7 -0.9 -11.4%
8.408 -0.575 -0.832
Footnotes:
1 The Labour force survey collection of tables, starting with number 282-, is large with many
possible cross-tabulations for the 10 provinces and other geographic regions. To ensure respondent’s
confidentiality, detailed data are suppressed. Data for Canada, Quebec, Ontario, Alberta and British
Columbia are suppressed if the estimate is below 1,500, for Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, New
Brunswick, Manitoba and Saskatchewan, if the estimate is below 500, and for Prince Edward Island, under
200. For suppression levels within census metropolitan areas (CMAs) and economic regions (ERs), use the
respective provincial suppression levels above. While suppressing to protect respondent confidentiality
has the added effect of blocking-out the lowest-quality LFS data, some remaining non-suppressed data in
these very large LFS CANSIM tables may be of insufficient quality to allow for accurate interpretation.
Please be warned that the more detailed your LFS CANSIM download, the smaller the sample size upon
which your LFS estimates will be based, and the greater the risk of downloading poorer quality data.

2 An economic region is a geographical unit generally composed of several census divisions within
a province. While 73 regions are defined for the purposes of sampling, some areas are too small to
enable production of independent estimates from the survey. These small regions are grouped with a
neighbouring region with similar economic characteristics. In the case of Prince Edward Island, the
province constitutes one economic region. For geographic descriptions of economic regions, refer to the
Guide to the Labour Force Survey (Catalogue no. 71-543-GIE).

3 Industry estimates are based on the 2007 North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
Industry refers to the general nature of the business carried out by the employer for whom the
respondent works (main job only). In January 1999, the industry classification switched from Standard
Industrial Classification (SIC 1980) to North American Industrial Classification System (NAICS), which
is quite different. While the titles of some groupings have not changed, the detailed industries that
they represent have. For this reason, detailed historical data based on NAICS is provided going back to
January 1987. In addition, data from 1976 to 1986 is provided at a less detailed level than the more
recent data. Historical data have been created by imputation.

4 This combines the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) codes 11 to 91.

6 Labour Force Survey (LFS) North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) code exception:
add group 1100 – Farming – not elsewhere classified (nec). When the type of farm activity cannot be
distinguished between crop and livestock, (example: mixed farming).

7 Labour Force Survey (LFS) North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) code exception:
add group 2100 – Mining – not elsewhere classified (nec). Whenever the type of mining activity cannot
be distinguished.
8 Also referred to as Natural resources.

10 Formerly “Management of companies and administrative and other support services”.

Source:
Statistics Canada. Table 282-0125 – Labour force survey estimates (LFS), employment by economic region
based on 2011 Census boundaries and North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), annual
(persons)
(accessed: October 13, 2015)